The settlement hierarchy for the province can be described as follows:
The province has the following corridors as priority corridors:
The biggest challenge for the Province is to provide roads support for these corridors to link up with other provincial roads and also ultimately lead to the border posts including linkage to Maputo Corridor, Richards Bay and other major activity nodes. The principles should also include densification; shortened travel distance and time. Furthermore the economic viability of each corridor development must focus on long-term employment and sustainable development, and to preferably favour local content (labour, materials and equipment) as well as projects that offer long term capital investments with the potential of low operating costs, that is high efficiency long term solutions. Public transport sub-directorate(empowerment and institutional management) assisted taxi operators by showing them the importance of safety and by undertaking a course to implement those skills.
Ownership of the roads in the Province is as follows:
Breakdown of Infrastructure
Note: Visual Condition Index Classifications: 10% = Very poor: 30%=Poor: 50%=Average; 70% = Good; 90%=Very Good N/A = Not Available
Distribution of Road Condition by District
In order to address the freight identified bottlenecks the following projects have been identified for future execution:
Investigating the required lane additions spatially, the required additional lanes are located in the following areas of the Limpopo Province:
In each of the above 1 x lane required per direction, except a short Section of the R524 Section and R523 junction which would require addition of 2 lanes by 2050.
Map: Required Lane Additions by 2050 (Middle Scenario)
Map: Year at which Roads will reach LOS D
The five year development plan (short term projects) for Limpopo Province for the period 2010 to 2015 is indicated in the following tables.
The first order cost estimates per infrastructure category for the five year development plan is indicated in tables that follow. The bulk of the identified projects (in terms of monetary value) relate to road projects (SANRAL and provincial) and passenger transport projects. The estimate total cost of all projects for the period 2010 to 2015 is about R 17,434 million.
Table : Limpopo Five Year Development Plan (Short Term): 2010 - 2015
Goal Achievement Matrix (GAM) scores:
Figure: Five Year Development Plan (2010-2015): First Order Cost Estimates per Infrastructure Category (R millions, 2010 values)
The medium term development programme for Limpopo Province for the period 2015 to 2030 is indicated in table that follows.
The first order cost estimates per infrastructure category for the medium term development programme is indicated in above. The bulk of the identified projects (in terms of monetary value) relate to rail passenger projects and rail freight projects. The estimate total cost of all projects for the period 2015 to 2030 is about R 6113 million.
Table: Limpopo Medium Term Development Programme: 2015 - 2030
Goal Achievement Matrix (GAM) scores:
Figure: Medium Term Development Programme (2015-2030): First Order Cost Estimates per Infrastructure Category (R millions, 2010 values)
The long term development programme for Limpopo Province for the period 2030 to 2050 is indicated in Table that follows.
The first order cost estimates per infrastructure category for the long term development programme is indicated in that follows. There are two projects in the long term development programme namely roads and passenger transport category. The estimate total cost of all projects for the period 2030 to 2050 is about R 983 million.
Table: Limpopo Long Term Development Programme: 2030 - 2050
Goal Achievement Matrix (GAM) scores:
Figure: Long Term Development Programme (2030-2050): First Order Cost Estimates per Infrastructure Category (R millions, 2010 values)
The national (inter-provincial) projects relevant to Limpopo Province for the period 2010 to 2050 are indicated in Table that follows.
The first order cost estimates per infrastructure category for the national projects indicated in Table 2, is shown in Figure that follows. The bulk of the identified projects (in terms of monetary value) relate to rail passenger. The estimate total cost of all national projects indicated in table that follows is about R 38,765 million.
Table: National Projects Relevant to Limpopo Province: 2010 - 2050
Goal Achievement Matrix (GAM) scores:
Figure: National Projects Relevant to Limpopo Province (2010-2050): First Order Cost Estimates per Infrastructure Category (R million, 2010 values)
A total of five critical projects have been identified for Limpopo, namely the following:
TABLE: Summary of Institutional Projects Identified for Implementation
TABLE: Summary of Legal Projects Identified for Implementation
Road freight volumes in Limpopo are expected to change over time, with major corridors handling increased general cargo and some reduction in the localised transportation of coal.
In the Map below, the current situation (2010) is shown for the major national and provincial routes. As shown, most of the provincial routes handled tonnages below 1 million tonnes per annum. The N1 from Gauteng to Musina (and Beit Bridge) handles approximately 9.8 million tonnes per annum and the N11 to the Botswana border handles about 2.2 million tonnes p.a.
Map: Road Freight Volumes (tonnes/day) (2010) (Middle Scenario)
The Map below shows the anticipated growth in road freight traffic to 2030 and it can be seen that the demand for road freight on the N11 is expected to increase over the period. The N1 route between Gauteng and Beit Bridge is also anticipated to experience increased traffic depending on the recovery of the Zimbabwe economy.
Map: Road Freight Volumes (tonnes/day) (2030) (Middle Scenario)
In the Map below, road freight volumes to 2050 indicate an anticipated significant increase in the amount of road traffic on the N11 corridor between the Limpopo coal mining areas and Gauteng. On the N1 corridor between Gauteng and Musina (and Beit Bridge) further increase is expected but that will depend on the economic growth in neighbour states to the north. It can also be anticipated that there will be increased tonnage on the southern sections of the corridor as power generation and coal mining are expanded into Limpopo.
Map: Road Freight Volumes (tonnes/day) (2050) (Middle Scenario)
The future operational capacity of road freight transport is largely unlimited, over most of the road network for the period under review. There are however specific areas of infrastructure under-capacity around the major urban and industrial areas that are in need of urgent upgrading as described in the infrastructure chapter of this report.
Infrastructure RestrictionsFrom an operational perspective, the infrastructure constraints result in congestion, lack of efficiency, accidents, pollution and general restriction of the ability of the road freight mode to deliver efficiently and cost effectively.
ExternalitiesThe externalities created by road freight transport, are in need of urgent attention, as the capacity to move tonnage must be accompanied by the capacity to limit externalities such as accidents, road damage, pollution, road safety (speeding, driving hours, load securement) and the transport of hazardous goods with all due safety precautions.
Operator QualityThe capacity of road freight transport operators to operate efficiently, safely and within the standards for externalities defined in the legislation, requires specific level of training experience and managerial ability. Failure to provide for the efficient management of freight transport (as with other modes of transport) inevitably leads to inefficiency and an increasingly negative impact from the externalities of the mode.
There is urgent need for revision of the road freight transport operator licensing system to introduce an element of responsibility, competence, registration, and control to reduce the future impacts of the inevitable growth in road freight transport.
Enforcement CapabilityThe quality standards of the road mode in South Africa are ineffectively regulated due to lack of capacity by the enforcement authorities, hampered by failure to introduce an effective regulatory system that will permit offenders to be constrained and controlled.
Fuel ShortagesThere is anticipation that when the world economy recovers from the present recession there will again be pressure on the supply of carbon based liquid fuels that are the essential power source for current road freight vehicles. The increasing cost of diesel fuel will place severe pressure on users of road haulage and in the absence of alternative electrified rail services; the cost of long haul freight transport may severely limit industrial growth potential.
The future constraints on intermodal transport in South Africa are considered to be a function of the institutional framework. The development of truly intermodal competitive cargo services depends on the ability to negotiate open competitive procedures and the introduction of modern equipment.
It is expected that private sector operators will be unlikely to invest in intermodal services as long as they are faced by a monopoly partner with the current powers accorded to the national transport operator. This limitation on private investment in intermodal transport means that the road and rail sectors will continue to operate in isolation, in competition, without any attempts at developing what could be effective intermodal services.
There is need for an urgent review as this is a priority, in relation to the total future logistics systems development in South Africa.
Road maintenance should be a critical step in the sustainable management of road infrastructure in our country. Road maintenance has to ensure easy accessibility to and within the Province and also be the conduit to socio-economic activities that involve the quality of life for all residents.
Maintenance StrategyRoad pavement preservation requires identification of pavements sections that will most benefit from the treatment rather than the section in the worst condition. The Pavement Management System (PMS) maintenance optimisation routine is based on the benefit cost where the life cycle sots and the annual deterioration are taken into account.
As the graph below illustrates, it is very important to do the right maintenance at the right time. Any delay in the maintenance causes further road deterioration and escalates the cost. Economic analyses show that preventative maintenance (e.g. resurfacing, rejuvenation) is five to ten times more cost effective than reactive maintenance (e.g. rehabilitation).
Decline of Secondary Road Network
The infrastructure analysis executed for the roads of national importance in Limpopo at the Phase 2 stage, revealed that the road network is generally in fair condition (sound to warning condition). Financial constraints, especially in the past, have lead to a backlog of about R2,5 billion in the maintenance, renewal and upgrading of the road network in Limpopo. Over the past few financial years, the allocation of funds to roads has improved greatly. This has led to the current position, where at least the decline in paved road condition has been halted, though not yet reversed.
The following bottlenecks, where 95% of capacity is exceeded, have been identified:
By 2030 the following bottlenecks can be expected:
By 2050 to following additional bottlenecks can be expected:
Transnet, with the current responsibility to manage capacity on the rail network, has developed a dynamic model taking into account desired market shares for the transportation of different commodities; taking into account routing alternatives, operational alternatives, etc. to come to their own future capacity utilisation results
By 2030 Transnet expects the following additional bottlenecks:
By 2050 Transnet expects the following additional bottlenecks:
A number of interventions are possible to improve capacity, which includes inter alia the following:
Because of its characteristics, rail freight transport is most suited to:
In considering possible modal shifts from road to rail consideration should be given to commodities that fit the characteristics of rail and the market expectations of the client.
It is the opinion that a modal shift to rail makes sense in cases where there is road capacity pressures at the same time when rail has spare capacity. A modal shift strategy to rail could make sense under certain circumstances and need to be applied responsibly in order to ensure that the interest of the economy is served in the most cost effective way.
The low utilisation of a few lines in the province provides opportunities for modal shifts from road to rail. The Musina to Pienaarsrivier line is underutilised and could benefit from additional traffic.
Once the previously mentioned strategies have all been exhausted to improve the capacity situation the means of last resort is the addition of rail links and the expansion of the network. With the current extensive rail network that covers all important harbours and link most major centers this should be the exception rather than the rule.
Network extensions could serve one of two purposes:
Transnet already identified a number of additional links to make the rail freight network more accessible to the current needs of the economy. Most additional links are need-specific to improve connectivity to major facilities like City Deep and to new mining operations like in the case of mines in the vicinity of Lepalahle Limpopo.
Network expansions with new routes/corridors are only considered once additional capacity cannot be provided within the boundaries of the existing network. If the cost of capacity improvements to the existing freight network is to high and due to technology restrictions not desirable at all cost, consideration can be given to network extension.
A specific instance that could require consideration in terms of a new route/corridor is the one between Gauteng and harbours on the east coast (Durban/Richards Bay). It the additional capacity required on the two existing major corridors to Bayhead Durban and Richards Bay respectively both require extensive investment the introduction of a third new route could become financially attractive.
A number of line extensions have been identified in this province to serve new mining activity in the Lephalale area. They are the following:
In terms of the Transnet planning approach a number of identified infrastructure related project for the relevant sections have been identified and is contained in the table below. Transnet also indicates the year in which the identified infrastructure has to be available according to their current freight projections
In order to address the identified bottlenecks the following projects are identified for future execution:
Before 2030:
Lephalale Link:
Extensions to Lephalale Link:
Table: Transnet Proposed Infrastructure Improvements to the Core Freight Rail Network to Improve Capacity
Note: Prepared from information sourced from Transnet Freight Rail
Summary of Existing Intermodal Facilities of National Importance
Freight Inter-Modal Facilities
Future Need for Inter-Modal Facilities of National Importance
Freight Inter-Modal Facilities
Current Planning - Evaluation of Strategy
The table below presents summary details of the identified public transport infrastructure projects.
Table: Limpopo Department of Roads and Transport - Multi-Year Transport Infrastructure Projects 2009/2015
Source: Limpopo Department of Roads and Transport
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